Nuu, Alluring Desire
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 12-3-0
53%
Meta
+5.4
Perf
7.7
Surp
7.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs May Hayden (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 理央 鎌田 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shing Tsang (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Juntaek Lim (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 7: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs kazuma terui (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 11: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Allen Lau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Allen Lau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
53% (8/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+5.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
7.7 total deviation
Difficulty
7.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
26th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wei-Chueh Wang (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Louis Glenn (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs haruka sonoda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 5: Win vs Ryusei Tani (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs CYK Lionel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Win vs Law Wen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
37th • 7-4-1
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Tang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 周万 濵口 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 黎哉 今井 (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs motohiro makigano (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Draw vs Akihiro Takano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Draw |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
46th • 7-4-1
58%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs kazuma kuwahara (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Loss vs RYO OZAKI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Saori TOYOIZUMI (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuuki Nada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
Round 7: Win vs 周万 濵口 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Darren Goh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Akihiro Takano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Law Wen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Pang Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
dropped • 5-5-0
70%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
4.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Keung Li (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 76:24
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs katsuya kawai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Round 7: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Colin Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 9: Win vs 周万 濵口 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Nick Butcher (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joel Guzman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Atsushi Taichi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Draw |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Chan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mathias W (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs masahiro onoe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Xavier McLean (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Masaaki Yamanobe (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steven Chen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ayato Taki (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Frank Hung (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs katsuya kawai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Iada Caio (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
86%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jo Yana (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bun Ar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yang-Chia Chang (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Marei Oshiro (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 40:60
Round 5: Loss vs Kazuaki Fujimoto (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hiroshi Takahashi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hiroshi Noguchi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Draw |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-2
86%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mark Phillips (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs 永井 泰洋 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 匡俊 和氣 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Satoru Doumoto (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Steven Chen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs jiazhou 吳 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Draw |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Draw |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 永井 泰洋 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs May Hayden (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gyuwon Yoon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs kazuma terui (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Camden Keener (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Satoru Doumoto (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Teoh Juwern (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs hironobu watanabe (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
100%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marshal Meador (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shigeru Masuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs KENSUKE BESSHO (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Frank Hung (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs katsuya kawai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Camden Keener (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-2
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 大貴 浅海 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs yuta morita (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Risa Shioji (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 匡俊 和氣 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Draw |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shigeru Masuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuuki Nada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Loss vs Atsushi Taichi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Norio Koide (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Loss vs Pang Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs kenta iwasaki (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-2
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Kohei Okuda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Tomoya Ohta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Loss vs yuki ideue (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.