Arakni, Huntsman
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peng Joon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs jiazhou 吳 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shinmura Kazuya (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 雄斗 宮地 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.