Fang, Dracai of Blades
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 9-3-0
33%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
6.5
Surp
6.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs kenta iwasaki (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taiki Bamba (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Win vs masataka shibata (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs masaru okuda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
Round 9: Win vs Ian Chan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hiroshi Osada (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Yu Heng Chew (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 了亮 足立 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 高柳 賢一 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs yuki ideue (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Taiki Bamba (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs York kwok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
Round 3: Win vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Satoshi Kitazume (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Win vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cheng-Chung Tang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Round 7: Loss vs KENSUKE BESSHO (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Frank Hung (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mason Galvan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 新田 幸弘 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs humiaki hattori (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Takamasa Kamei (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs PANG CHEN (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Tanaka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
Round 5: Win vs HIROAKI KUZUHARA (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs syun suzuki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ikumi Miyao (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Loss vs kazuma terui (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Mark Phillips (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Round 3: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs To Cheng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs jiazhou 吳 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shogo Hamashima (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Makoto Takahashi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Satoshi Kitazume (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Saori TOYOIZUMI (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tomoya Ohta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs sotaro takagishi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs YE MINSHENG (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Johnny Zen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.