Jarl Vetreiði
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
19th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs tomohiro tani (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Win vs 荒金 優太 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs yohei ohki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
Round 7: Win vs Keung Li (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
39th • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 2: Win vs Takaaki Sano (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ged Felipe Santos (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Win vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
5:95
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Law Wen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Colin Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
Round 10: Win vs masaru okuda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
5:95
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
Round 12: Loss vs David Yau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
54th • 5-7-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
5.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs masaru okuda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Round 2: Loss vs Risa Shioji (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs kazuma kuwahara (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs TAITO SUZUKI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs yutaro yamada (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
Round 9: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 10: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tetsuhiro Murata (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (5.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steven Chen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
5:95
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 2:98
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 63:37
Round 4: Win vs タカヤ スギモト (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
Round 7: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 5% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Draw |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.