Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 13-2-0
53%
Meta
+5.9
Perf
7.3
Surp
7.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Hlaing (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yu Heng Chew (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs YUJIE MAO (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Colin Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andy Kim (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
Round 8: Win vs Law Wen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Allen Lau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
53% (8/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+5.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 13 actual)
Surprise
7.3 total deviation
Difficulty
7.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
15th • 9-2-1
67%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 中嶋 海成 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs GAICHI YAMADA (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Cheng-Chung Tang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs yuki ideue (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
Round 9: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs kazuma terui (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs David Yau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs 啓明 宮村 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Draw |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
14th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs masaru okuda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Clements (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Oh Oh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
21st • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 野原 由一 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs syun suzuki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs YE MINSHENG (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs YUJIE MAO (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs David Yau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Marshal Meador (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
Round 10: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Justin Cu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
36th • 7-3-2
67%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
5.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 65:35
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vincent Chau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Shou Miyahara (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yusuke Asama (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kohei Okuda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Draw vs Shuto Ushiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Draw vs Keisuke Iwamura (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs masaru okuda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Draw |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Draw |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
50th • 6-6-0
42%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
5.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gyuwon Yoon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 66:34
Round 2: Loss vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taiki Koike (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 広朗 大澤 (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 理央 鎌田 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs CYK Lionel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Justin Cu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Colin Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Pang Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 12: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (6.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Johnny Zen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Chua (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kohei Okuda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Taiki Yamashita (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mamoru Iguchi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs hiroshi kanaya (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Allen Lau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 7: Loss vs Ryusei Tani (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs CYK Lionel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs RYOTO KAGAWA (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs kei iikubo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Loss vs Cheng-Chung Tang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
Round 7: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
Round 2: Loss vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Motoki Soezima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs TAITO SUZUKI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gyuwon Yoon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Colin Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kentaro Tanaka (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Suzuki Takahiro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs hiromitsu nohara (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jo Yana (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 大貴 浅海 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 66:34
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs PANG CHEN (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 和田 海里 (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Satoru Doumoto (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs kazuma kuwahara (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Sim (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Chan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs jiazhou 吳 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Chua (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-0-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Phillips (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (1.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.