FaB-Results

Azalea, Ace in the Hole at Calling: Kobe 2025

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jo Yana
43rd • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.1
Diff
Nuu, Alluring Desire
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs FUNG CC (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 45:55
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs masahiro onoe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Roderick So (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs RYO OZAKI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuki Tanaka (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 창건 곽 (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Colin Li (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs kazuma terui (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72
Kan Ting JoeB
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs SHUNYA TAMURA (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 黎哉 今井 (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marshal Meador (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Norio Koide (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Neil Bautista
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liang Hsi Ho (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Oh Oh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hui Ryan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Allen Lau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Yusuke Mizuno
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mason Galvan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs ryotaro takashima (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Darren Goh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Atsushi Taichi
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Norio Koide (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pang Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mitsuki Sakata (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Nuu, Alluring Desire
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs fujiwara yudai (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 45:55
Nuu, Alluring Desire
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 45:55
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs sotaro takagishi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Kazuhiro Watanabe
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mitsuki Sakata (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs syun suzuki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Masaaki Yamanobe (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 64:36
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Yuuki Nada
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Okabe Keisuke (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
Nuu, Alluring Desire
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs fujiwara yudai (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 45:55
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kazuaki Fujimoto (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andy Kim (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Nuu, Alluring Desire
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kohei Okuda (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 45:55
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mitsuki Sakata (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
Chan Lion
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 裕太 横川 (Unknown)
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Chau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Satoru Doumoto (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Johnny Zen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
和田 海里
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Camden Keener (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul Johnson (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Keung Li (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
Elton Siang
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Aurora, Shooting Star
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Teoh Juwern (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs humiaki hattori (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Law (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 49:51

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.