Calling: Kobe 2025 - Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X (CC)

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Yoshiki Inada

dropped • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Darin Key (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 黎哉今井 (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Yau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs 岡本一朗 (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Marshal Meador (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs 周万濵口 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.13
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.15
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.33
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.43
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Xincheng Hou

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Taiki Yamashita (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 理央鎌田 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ken Sawada (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.09
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.30
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.86
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Terukazu Goshima

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yuto Mori (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs hiromitsu nohara (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.55
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Liang Hsi Ho

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Neil Bautista (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 広朗大澤 (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

RICARDO DIAZ

dropped • 0-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Akihiro Takano (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Takaaki Sano (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Suzuki Takahiro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Fritz Chua

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Law Wen (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.