Kassai of the Golden Sand
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 黎哉 今井 (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 23:77
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 23:77
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Okabe Keisuke (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.