Kano, Dracai of Aether
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 雄斗 宮地 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
Round 3: Loss vs 根本 正尭 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Juntaek Lim (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.