Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Battle Hardened: Kobe 2025
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
28th • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 大貴 浅海 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs takahiro nishimura (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sei Inui (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
43rd • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Reo Hamada (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tomoya Ohta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69
Round 4: Win vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
5:95
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kento Goya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 5:95
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs takahiro nishimura (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 5% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
45th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ikumi Miyao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Suzuki Takahiro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Win vs taisuke nagai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Atsushi Taichi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Toranosuke Matsusaka (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yuki Tanaka (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
46th • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Tanaka (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Phillips (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yuuki Nada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Takaaki Sano (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
56th • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mitsuhiro Iwata (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Takaaki Sano (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Takeji Furugen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryusei Tani (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marion Ronquillo (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Phillips (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vincent Chau (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs YuDi Chen (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 理央 鎌田 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuki Tanaka (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Suzuki Takahiro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ikumi Miyao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Peng Joon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Camden Keener (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs eiji ito (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs syun suzuki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs York kwok (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 46:54
5:95
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 5:95
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 5% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ikumi Miyao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 理央 鎌田 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
5:95
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kento Goya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 5:95
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mason Galvan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 5% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Henry Leasure (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.