Dorinthea Ironsong at Battle Hardened: Kobe 2025
Dorinthea Ironsong
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
22nd • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 野原 由一 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yuuki Nada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs FUNG CC (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs yuta morita (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Win |
32nd • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Neil Bautista (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marion Ronquillo (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tomoya Ohta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 央 井沼 (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
Round 7: Win vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
38th • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joel Guzman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ikumi Miyao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 野原 由一 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sei Inui (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 23:77
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Toranosuke Matsusaka (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-1
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ged Felipe Santos (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Rocky Cheung (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 56:44
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marion Ronquillo (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 55% | Draw |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Henry Leasure (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuto Mori (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Atsushi Taichi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Johnny Zen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.