Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at Battle Hardened: Kobe 2025
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takaaki Sano (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Loss vs Takamasa Kamei (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs To Cheng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Toranosuke Matsusaka (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.