Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at Battle Hardened: Kobe

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Takaaki Sano

35th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ged Felipe Santos (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs MICHI HIGASHI (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hajime Okada (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ryouhei Ishimura (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

80:20

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.17
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.46
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.49
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.39

Ryoko Kitajima

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Okabe Keisuke (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs May Hayden (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 21:79

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs eiji ito (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs 野原由一 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 78:22

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Yuki Tanaka (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.47
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.30
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Takumi Watanabe

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 17:83

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Carlo Luis Santos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs York kwok (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.32
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.64
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-

Takamasa Kamei

dropped • 1-3-0

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rocky Cheung (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 17:83

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ged Felipe Santos (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs taisuke nagai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.99
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

조 윤재

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs FUNG CC (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ryoko Kitajima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Camden Keener (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.