Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rocky Cheung (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs FUNG CC (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs kazuma kuwahara (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs yutaro yamada (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs yutaro yamada (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
21st • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rocky Cheung (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ikumi Miyao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
39th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs 和佳 倉田 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryoko Kitajima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joel Guzman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs syun suzuki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yuto Mori (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Round 2: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rocky Cheung (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
100:0
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mitsuhiro Iwata (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
100:0
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 98:2
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bun Ar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 和佳 倉田 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 高柳 賢一 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 100% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hajime Okada (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.