Nuu, Alluring Desire
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tomohisa OBASE (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 匡俊 和氣 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taiki Koike (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tomoya Ohta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 46:54
Round 8: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
9th • 5-1-1
86%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Juntaek Lim (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 大貴 浅海 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs FUNG CC (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Draw |
12th • 5-1-1
71%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 76:24
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marion Ronquillo (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kento Goya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 72:28
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs kazuma kuwahara (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Draw |
23rd • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Camden Keener (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-1
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 76:24
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sei Inui (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs To Cheng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Draw |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.