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1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
40th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs To Cheng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xavier McLean (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Henry Leasure (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50
Round 7: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.