Zen, Tamer of Purpose at Battle Hardened: Kobe 2025
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 8-2-0
80%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
4.8
Surp
4.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carlo Luis Santos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 央 井沼 (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Suzuki Takahiro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Peng Joon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Atsushi Taichi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Round 8: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs yutaro yamada (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
3rd • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bun Ar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs CYK Lionel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs yutaro yamada (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
29th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 匡俊 和氣 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 7: Loss vs 大貴 浅海 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tomoya Ohta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sei Inui (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taiki Koike (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 창건 곽 (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mitsuhiro Iwata (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs syun suzuki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 寺北 凌 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.