Fang, Dracai of Blades at Battle Hardened: Kobe 2025
Fang, Dracai of Blades
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs yuta morita (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 高柳 賢一 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.