Battle Hardened: Kobe 2025 - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

FUKUHARA RYOU

19th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 理央鎌田 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 雄斗宮地 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs syun suzuki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kento Goya (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.40
R4	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.80
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Ryusei Tani

55th • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tomoya Ohta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Risa Shioji (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Carlo Luis Santos (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs MICHI HIGASHI (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs 野原由一 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.96
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

和佳倉田

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs May Hayden (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Peng Joon (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.34
R2	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.