FaB-Results

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose at Battle Hardened: Kobe 2025

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kento Goya
26th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
95:5
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 寺北 凌 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 95:5
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs taisuke nagai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 82:18
Aurora, Shooting Star
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs yutaro yamada (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
Nuu, Alluring Desire
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs FUNG CC (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
95:5
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Camden Keener (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 95:5
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69
Yuusuke Kiguchi
47th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kaiser Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Dorinthea Ironsong
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs To Cheng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
!!
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67
Uzuri, Switchblade
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marion Ronquillo (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
95:5
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Reo Hamada (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 95:5
Dorinthea Ironsong
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Phitchaya Tungpavitaya
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ged Felipe Santos (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!!
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 84:16
Nuu, Alluring Desire
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 33:67
Aurora, Shooting Star
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Risa Shioji (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs May Hayden (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.