Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.