Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 8-3-0
18%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
5.5
Surp
5.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Jared Warden (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
90:10
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 92:8
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Charles Dunn (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Dagan White (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Ian Holland (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
Round 8: Win vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
45:55
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
18% (2/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
12th • 8-3-0
27%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.8
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Thomas (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Phillip Bourner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Justin Gagliardi (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Kruman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Win vs Kyle Grinnage (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Riley Lont (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
27% (3/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
21st • 7-4-0
27%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Greget (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Chuck Hutchins (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Ethan Davison (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs jaime bessett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Robert Alonso (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Roger Bodee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Ben Hannan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
27% (3/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
24th • 7-4-0
18%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.8
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Martinez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Jason Chan (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Kenneth Shivers (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
Round 7: Win vs Joe Robles (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Tyler Kennedy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
Round 10: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
18% (2/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
27th • 7-4-0
18%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs jaime bessett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jason Goyena-Segarra (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Jude Cornett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Colin Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
R10
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Robert Alonso (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
18% (2/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
31st • 7-4-0
36%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.3
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Geoffrey Hunt (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Joe Robles (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Maggert (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jackson Bruening (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Aaron Grace (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Tariq Patel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62
R11
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Robert Alonso (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
36% (4/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
34th • 7-4-0
27%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.5
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs William Bradshaw (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 10: Win vs Tyler Kennedy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Dagan White (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
27% (3/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Michael Stone (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Crabtree (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Austin Henry (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs John Zapata (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Alex Tyler (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
0%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Joe DeCaussin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Kenneth Shivers (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Stockfleth (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Ian Holland (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Sage Husanu (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Nathaniel Brower (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Joe Robles (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
90:10
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Cristopher Allen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 92:8
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Musgrove (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Charlie Manning (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Dietrich (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Thomas (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
35:65
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Baar (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Carrico (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Andre Thomas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Julien Bergeron (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
90:10
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 92:8
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Maggert (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 90% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Jackson Bruening (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
90:10
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 92:8
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Kyle Femmer (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Nathaniel Snyder (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs John Milner (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Joe Robles (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Butera (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Justin Haenel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Kennedy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Devin McAtee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Dominick Wolfgang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Doggett (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Baar (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Parker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Holland (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Datwyler (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Douglas Jones (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Kanofsky (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Schubert (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Cody Williams (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.