Dromai, Ash Artist
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
39th • 6-5-0
64%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
5.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
70:30
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Win vs Sean Gray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Evan Herndon (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
75:25
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Aaron Grace (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 58:42
Round 8: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
60:40
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (6.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 75% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Barding (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Connor Bryant (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Douglas Jones (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 58:42
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Draw vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Wesley Hobson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Solava (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
20:80
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
65:35
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Michael Godfrey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Kenneth Shivers (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Win vs Jake Landaiche (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Kyle Femmer (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Winry Owen (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
65:35
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Duane Flier (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 65:35
Round 2: Win vs Ian Holland (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
20:80
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 58:42
Round 5: Win vs Rich Pauls (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Jake Landaiche (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-1
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Draw vs John Milner (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Darick Oswalt (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Henry (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
35:65
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Karlson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 36:64
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Dominick Wolfgang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Matt Muus (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Femmer (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Greget (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
35:65
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Stockfleth (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Rich Pauls (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
20:80
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Bethany Romans (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 65:35
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Jared Warden (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.