Viserai, Rune Blood
23 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.1
Diff
65:35
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Andre Thomas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Winry Owen (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Cody Williams (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Austin Redington (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R12 LL
Round 12: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
17th • 8-3-0
64%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.4
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Sage Husanu (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Aaron Heynig (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Siuda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Kyle Grinnage (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs William Bradshaw (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
20th • 7-4-0
73%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Loss vs Mitchell Blowey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Julien Bergeron (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Charlie Herren (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jackson Bruening (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs SEAN STELL (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Josef Mendez (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Evan Herndon (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Cody Williams (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
40th • 6-5-0
82%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
5.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Jared Warden (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Connor Bryant (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Crabtree (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Ethan Davison (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Dylan Myers (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
Round 11: Loss vs Austin Revera (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-5-0
70%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Stowe (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Logan Reinert (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Colin Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Summer Giles (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
Round 8: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
Round 10: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Rich Pauls (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
Round 5: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Mitchell Blowey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Dominick Wolfgang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Stockfleth (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Holland (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Siuda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Cody Campbell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Cole Donaldson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Evan Dyck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Winry Owen (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Cristopher Allen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Baar (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Dylan Myers (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Austin Henson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Johnson (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Zak Miller (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Alonso (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Sean Gray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs TJ Saenz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs John Zapata (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs James Warburton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Karlson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Evan Dyck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Dawn DeLozier (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Hemal Patel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Justin Haenel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Heynig (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Pritchard (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Joe Robles (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Park (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Hartman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Brett Merold (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Dan Groseclose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Dyck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Logan Reinert (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Ian Carrico (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Pizaro (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Phillip Bourner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 5: Win vs Jared Warden (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Alexis Gunthner (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Hemal Patel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Pritchard (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Holland (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Jake Landaiche (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Gabriel Martinez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Park (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
30:70
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs James Warburton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Austin Scherer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Riley Lont (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Trevyn June (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Rich Pauls (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Dyck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Martinez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Chuck Hutchins (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Darick Oswalt (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Darick Oswalt (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Cassidy (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Loss vs Hemal Patel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs ANDREW WEBBER (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Zack Martin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Colin Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.