Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Davison (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Matt Schubert (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 4: Win vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Joseph Musgrove (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Revera (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Jake Smith (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60
Round 7: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Ronit Patel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Wilhite (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Cody Williams (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Haenel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs John Milner (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Lizzy Autumn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Datwyler (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Dean DeWitte (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.