Chane, Bound by Shadow at Calling: Chicago 2024 - Living Legend
Chane, Bound by Shadow
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 11-2-0
100%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.6
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Dylan Wilhite (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
85:15
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Andre Thomas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 86:14
80:20
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Mitchell Blowey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Kyle Femmer (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Dagan White (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Ian Holland (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Josef Mendez (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R12 LL
Round 12: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R13 LL
Round 13: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (13/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
5th • 9-3-0
92%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.2
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 55:45
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Phillip Bourner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
85:15
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 84:16
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Heynig (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
R9
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Robert Alonso (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Ian Holland (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Ryan Rich (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R12 LL
Round 12: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
25th • 7-4-0
82%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.1
Diff
80:20
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Trevyn June (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 78:22
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Devin McAtee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Heynig (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Cody Williams (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Tyler Kennedy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
32nd • 7-4-0
91%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.2
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Nick Gabler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Musgrove (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Zak Miller (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Tariq Patel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
91% (10/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
37th • 6-5-0
82%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
5.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Cody Campbell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Zachary Sato (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Dien Tran (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Charles Dunn (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Tariq Patel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Ian Holland (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 80% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
41st • 6-5-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
4.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Dagan White (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Philliips (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 84:16
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Cristopher Allen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Joe Robles (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Ethan Davison (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 86:14
Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (11/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (6.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 85% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
42nd • 6-5-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs SEAN STELL (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Ronit Patel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Joe Robles (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Austin Revera (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Ethan Davison (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 86:14
Meta Fit
100% (11/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (6.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 85% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs TJ Saenz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs Nathaniel Brower (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Samuel-Shane Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Pizaro (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 55:45
80:20
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 78:22
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 80% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Lizzy Autumn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Johnson (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Charlie Manning (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Lucas Barding (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Darick Oswalt (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Theodore Raitzer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Dagan White (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
65:35
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Matt Schubert (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 80% | Loss |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
85:15
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Bennett Robinson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Cedric DeRouchie (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs jaime bessett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Douglas Jones (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Haenel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Joe DeCaussin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Loss vs Matt Schubert (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
80:20
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Summer Giles (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs jaime bessett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Siuda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Grant Grisham (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Joe DeCaussin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Brett Merold (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Scherer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs James Warburton (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.