Iyslander, Stormbind
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-2-1
29%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.9
Diff
70:30
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Charlie Herren (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 71:29
Round 3: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
15:85
R4 LL
Round 4: Draw vs Dylan Ashcraft (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 15:85
25:75
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 27:73
Round 7: Win vs Zak Miller (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 15% | Draw |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 25% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Bennett Robinson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Grinnage (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Trevyn June (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Haenel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Robert Alonso (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
15:85
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Nathaniel Brower (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 15:85
70:30
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Jake Smith (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 71:29
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Maggert (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Chan (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Bennett Robinson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Brett Merold (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 52:48
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Scanlon (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 54:46
15:85
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 15:85
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Vladimir Del Valle (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 27:73
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.