Zen, Tamer of Purpose at Calling: Chicago 2024 - Living

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

24 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Andrew Blackwell

29th • 7-4-0

64%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

5.2

Surp

3.4

Diff

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Grant Grisham (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Austin Redington (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity

R3

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Robert Alonso (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Dromai, Ash Artist

R4

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Dagan White (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Chane, Bound by Shadow

50:50

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Cody Williams (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

50:50

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Jeremy Kruman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Daniel Johnson (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R9 LL

Round 9: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R10 LL

Round 10: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Dromai, Ash Artist

R11

R11 LL

Round 11: Win vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

64% (7/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.15
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.19
R3	LL	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R4	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R6	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R8	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.77
R9	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R10	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R11	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

38th • 6-4-1

91%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

5.3

Surp

2.9

Diff

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Dromai, Ash Artist

R3

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Chane, Bound by Shadow

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Geoffrey Hunt (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Dromai, Ash Artist

R5

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Dean DeWitte (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

50:50

R8 LL

Round 8: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

R9

R9 LL

Round 9: Draw vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Chane, Bound by Shadow

50:50

R10 LL

Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R11 LL

Round 11: Loss vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

91% (10/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.08
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.45
R6	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.58
R7	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.68
R8	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.73
R9	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R10	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

dropped • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

4.6

Surp

2.9

Diff

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

R1

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Devin McAtee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Sean Gray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Drew Carrick (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Chane, Bound by Shadow

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Ian Carrico (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Chane, Bound by Shadow

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Jake Landaiche (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

R7

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

50:50

R8 LL

Round 8: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R9 LL

Round 9: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.81
R7	LL	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.7

Diff

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Arakni, Huntsman

R2

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Jhordan Farrah (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Steven Caraher (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Aaron Heynig (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	LL	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.97
R5	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.72
R7	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.69

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.2

Diff

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Sato (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

Iyslander, Stormbind

R4

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Vladimir Del Valle (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Sean Gray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

50:50

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.17
R2	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.73
R4	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.72
R7	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.8

Diff

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

R1

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Cody Campbell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Lexi, Livewire

R2

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Summer Giles (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Derrik Mills (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Julien Bergeron (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Chane, Bound by Shadow

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Charlie Manning (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

R6

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.73
R4	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Theodore Raitzer

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.1

Diff

Lexi, Livewire

R1

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Pritchard (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Chane, Bound by Shadow

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Steven Caraher (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R7 LL

Round 7: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.21
R6	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.72
R7	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.06

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.3

Diff

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Heynig (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Chane, Bound by Shadow

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Geoffrey Hunt (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

R4

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs TJ Saenz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Chane, Bound by Shadow

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Ian Carrico (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R6 LL

Round 6: Win vs Logan Petersen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Darick Oswalt (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.05
R7	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Wesley Robinson

dropped • 1-6-0

43%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57

Prism, Awakener of Sol

R2

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Lizzy Autumn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Myers (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Lexi, Livewire

R4

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Pritchard (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Justin Doggett (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

R6

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs TJ Saenz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R7 LL

Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Karlson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	LL	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	LL	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.9

Diff

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Steven Caraher (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Dien Tran (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R5 LL

Round 5: Win vs Dylan Wilhite (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Jason Chan (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.85
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.70
R6	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.9

Diff

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Pizaro (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Tyler Kennedy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

R3

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Austin Revera (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Nuu, Alluring Desire

R5

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Ethan Davison (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Austin Henson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R3	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	LL	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Joshua Crabtree

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

R1

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Samuel Parsons (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Jason Chan (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Musgrove (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Mark Cornett (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Kyle Grinnage (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Aurora, Shooting Star

R6

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.13
R5	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	LL	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Logan Petersen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Theodore Raitzer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

R6

R6 LL

Round 6: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.20
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R6	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

50:50

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Cedric DeRouchie (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Alexander Karlson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57

Aurora, Shooting Star

R3

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Samuel-Shane Cooper (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Lexi, Livewire

R4

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Barrett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Dean DeWitte (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.49
R3	LL	Aurora, Shooting Star	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	LL	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Cedric DeRouchie

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

50:50

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Brandon Butera (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Jackson Bruening (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Chane, Bound by Shadow

50:50

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.43
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

50:50

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Alexander Tedeschi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Ronit Patel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.50
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

Arakni, Huntsman

R1

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Jhordan Farrah (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

50:50

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Kruman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Chane, Bound by Shadow

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Alexis Gunthner (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

R3

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Cody Campbell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Kenneth Shivers (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R3	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Bennett Robinson

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

Iyslander, Stormbind

R1

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Vladimir Del Valle (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Iyslander, Stormbind

R2

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Jared Warden (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

R3

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Chane, Bound by Shadow

50:50

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

James Warburton

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

R1

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Maggert (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Chane, Bound by Shadow

50:50

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Jake Smith (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	LL	Chane, Bound by Shadow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.6

Diff

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Justin Doggett (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R3 LL

Round 3: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Prism, Awakener of Sol

R4

R4 LL

Round 4: Loss vs Lizzy Autumn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R4	LL	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alexander Tedeschi

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

Zen, Tamer of Purpose

50:50

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Chuck Hutchins (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Bravo, Star of the Show

30:70

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Dien Tran (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 31:69

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Karlson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Kennedy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Briar, Warden of Thorns

45:55

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Logan Petersen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	LL	Briar, Warden of Thorns	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light

50:50

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Gagliardi (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 48:52

Viserai, Rune Blood

55:45

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.