Bravo, Star of the Show
40 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 12-2-0
100%
Meta
+4.3
Perf
6.3
Surp
6.3
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Snyder (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
75:25
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Bader (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
85:15
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Barrett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 85:15
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Dien Tran (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Ethan Davison (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Cody Williams (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R12 LL
Round 12: Win vs Ryan Rich (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 LL
Round 13: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 LL
Round 14: Win vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (14/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.3 Wins (7.7 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
6.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
2nd • 11-3-0
86%
Meta
+4.2
Perf
7.2
Surp
6.1
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Dietrich (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Jake Landaiche (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Tariq Patel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Win vs Austin Revera (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Kyle Yoder (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 LL
Round 12: Win vs Cody Williams (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R13 LL
Round 13: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R14 LL
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (12/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
7.2 total deviation
Difficulty
6.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
3rd • 11-2-0
100%
Meta
+3.9
Perf
5.9
Surp
5.2
Diff
75:25
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Alex Tyler (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Cedric DeRouchie (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Evan Herndon (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Grace (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs William Bradshaw (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Ben Hannan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Ryan Rich (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 LL
Round 12: Win vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R13 LL
Round 13: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (13/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
5th • 8-4-0
100%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Zak Miller (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Drew Carrick (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Myers (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 82:18
75:25
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Damien Riggins (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs William Bradshaw (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 LL
Round 12: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (12/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
5th • 8-4-0
100%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.2
Diff
75:25
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs jaime bessett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Stockfleth (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Zak Miller (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Dagan White (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Cody Williams (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R12 LL
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (12/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
10th • 8-3-0
100%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.7
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Sean Gray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Solava (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
65:35
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Rich Pauls (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Winry Owen (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Colin Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Dagan White (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Austin Redington (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (11/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
11th • 8-3-0
91%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.3
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Charlie Manning (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Rich (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Evan Herndon (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
91% (10/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
13th • 8-3-0
73%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.3
Diff
30:70
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Revera (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
Round 2: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
65:35
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
75:25
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Chuck Hutchins (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Kyle Femmer (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs SEAN STELL (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
85:15
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Ian Holland (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
14th • 8-3-0
91%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.8
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Kyle Grinnage (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
85:15
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Duane Flier (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Barding (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
75:25
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Bader (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Winry Owen (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Kyle Femmer (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Riley Lont (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
91% (10/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
18th • 8-3-0
82%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.1
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Roger Bodee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Justin Gagliardi (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Tariq Patel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Dagan White (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
19th • 8-3-0
82%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.0
Surp
4.3
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Scanlon (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
75:25
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Brett Merold (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 73:27
Round 5: Win vs Cody Campbell (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
65:35
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Riley Lont (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Ben Hannan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
22nd • 7-4-0
82%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.1
Diff
85:15
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Matt Garner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 85:15
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Steven Caraher (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Rath (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Dagan White (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Damien Riggins (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Kyle Yoder (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
23rd • 7-4-0
82%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.3
Diff
65:35
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Karlson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
70:30
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Austin Scherer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
Round 3: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
65:35
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Nathaniel Brower (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
85:15
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Douglas Jones (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 82:18
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
Round 10: Win vs Austin Revera (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
26th • 7-4-0
91%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.4
Diff
65:35
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Gagliardi (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Greget (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Devin McAtee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Jeremy Stockfleth (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Aaron Grace (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Austin Revera (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Kyle Grinnage (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
91% (10/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
33rd • 7-4-0
82%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Jake Smith (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Dagan White (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Sam Rosenberg (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 85:15
75:25
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Cedric DeRouchie (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Rath (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Ethan Davison (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Dylan Myers (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
35th • 6-5-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
5.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Riley Lont (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Ben Hannan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Josef Mendez (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (11/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-5-0
80%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Davison (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Austin Henry (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
75:25
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Wesley Robinson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Dawn DeLozier (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Nick Gabler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Robert Alonso (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Kyle Grinnage (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
85:15
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Matt Garner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 85:15
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Logan Petersen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
75:25
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
30:70
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Austin Revera (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
75:25
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Zack Martin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
85:15
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Sam Rosenberg (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 85:15
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Mitchell Blowey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Barding (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Perry (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Zak Miller (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Kennedy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Mark Cornett (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Wesley Hobson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle Grinnage (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Hartman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Matt Muus (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Justin Doggett (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Greget (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Cole Donaldson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Ronit Patel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Matt Muus (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Loss vs Sam Rosenberg (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset
75:25
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Joe DeCaussin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 85% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Stockfleth (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Tedeschi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Devin McAtee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
75:25
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Alex Tyler (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Holland (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Datwyler (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Henson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Scanlon (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Maggert (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Pizaro (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
85:15
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Bethany Romans (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 82:18
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Logan Reinert (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Zachary Sato (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
85:15
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Douglas Jones (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Darin Key (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Crabtree (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
85:15
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Barrett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 85:15
Round 7: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Dean DeWitte (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Alex Cassidy (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Rath (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Dawn DeLozier (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Alice Abuhadba (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Crabtree (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
75:25
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Chuck Hutchins (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Robert Alonso (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jake Landaiche (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Jake Smith (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
75:25
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Theodore Raitzer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Evan Dyck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Justin Haenel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Tyler Kennedy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Derrik Mills (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Solava (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Nick Gabler (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Joshua Rath (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
75:25
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Joe DeCaussin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Alexis Gunthner (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Pizaro (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Cody Williams (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
Round 7: Loss vs Dan Groseclose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Park (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Jude Cornett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Austin Henson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
85:15
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Kanofsky (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Dan Groseclose (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Dominick Wolfgang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
85:15
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Pritchard (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 85:15
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 85% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Colin Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 7: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Dien Tran (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Julien Bergeron (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Alex Cassidy (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Austin Henry (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs ANDREW WEBBER (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23
85:15
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Hemal Patel (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 82:18
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Geoffrey Hunt (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Summer Giles (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Michael Stone (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Wilhite (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
67%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Winry Owen (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Draw vs Matt Muus (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Siuda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Musgrove (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Hartman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Muus (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.