Azalea, Ace in the Hole

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Chane, Bound by Shadow
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Dien Tran (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Logan Reinert (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Bravo, Star of the Show
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
dropped 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
Bravo, Star of the Show
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Wesley Hobson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Datwyler (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.