Briar, Warden of Thorns at Calling: Chicago 2024 - Living Legend
Briar, Warden of Thorns
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
15th • 8-3-0
64%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.6
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Philliips (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Brett Merold (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Femmer (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Bader (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
35:65
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 64:36
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
30:70
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71
70:30
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Daniel Johnson (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 70% | Win |
43rd • 5-6-0
55%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Kanofsky (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 64:36
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
70:30
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Baar (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 68:32
Round 5: Win vs Charles Dunn (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
35:65
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Riley Lont (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 33:67
70:30
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Jason Chan (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71
Round 10: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
35:65
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 70% | Loss |
| R11 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.4
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Barrett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Mark Cornett (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Matt Garner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Matt Schubert (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Myers (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Austin Henry (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Jake Smith (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Parker (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Charlie Herren (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Mitchell Blowey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
70:30
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Gui Cohen (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 33:67
70:30
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Dean DeWitte (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Riley Lont (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 33:67
70:30
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Justin Gagliardi (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 68:32
Round 7: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.6
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
35:65
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
30:70
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Mitchell Blowey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Alex Cassidy (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
43%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Wesley Robinson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Grinnage (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Yoder (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Draw vs Damien Riggins (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Colin Ross (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71
35:65
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Tyler Kennedy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
30:70
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Butera (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Tedeschi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Thomas (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Jake Smith (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Cole Donaldson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Wesley Robinson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Sam Rosenberg (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Zack Martin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Logan Petersen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Wesley Robinson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Logan Reinert (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Stowe (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Justin Doggett (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Douglas Jones (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
30:70
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Henson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Joe DeCaussin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Sam Rosenberg (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
30:70
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Hayslip (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Grant Grisham (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Alex Cassidy (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Austin Revera (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Julien Bergeron (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
70:30
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Drew Carrick (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Barrett (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Dawn DeLozier (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Sam Rosenberg (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Win vs Ian Carrico (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Solava (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs John Zapata (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Jude Cornett (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
30:70
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Gagliardi (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs ANDREW WEBBER (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Heynig (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 29:71
35:65
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Gray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.