Lexi, Livewire
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Dawn DeLozier (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Matt Schubert (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
15:85
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 15:85
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Butera (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Alonso (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
15:85
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Joseph Musgrove (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 15:85
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Tyler Kanofsky (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.3
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Justin Doggett (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
15:85
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 15:85
15:85
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 15:85
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Muus (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Matt Schubert (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Win vs Darick Oswalt (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Logan Petersen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 15% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Bethany Romans (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Charlie Herren (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Wesley Robinson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Maggert (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
35:65
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Pizaro (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64
15:85
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
20:80
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Charlie Manning (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 20:80
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Siuda (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 43:57
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Grant Grisham (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Kennedy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 15% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Dominick Wolfgang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
15:85
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 15:85
15:85
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Henson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 15:85
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Dawn DeLozier (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.