Nuu, Alluring Desire at Battle Hardened: Geneva 2024
Nuu, Alluring Desire
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leonhard Hecher (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nico Grieco (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oliver Gehrig (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Manuel Köber (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maurice Philip (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs STEPHANE LE ROY (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
9th • 5-1-1
71%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Paitz (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rafael Boog (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gints Dreimanis (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Felix Krisch (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Pennec (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Thomas VUILLAUMIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marc Alexandre (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Draw |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
39th • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xavier Mudry (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marc Lanigra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Luca Kleck (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Léo Dupraz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ilian Baylon (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yann HENRI (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Draw |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
21st • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Wachouschek (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrea Zaffalon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Jenni (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Paitz (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Gut (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
26th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oliver Gehrig (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lian Mintz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marco Lauria (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hugo Jobe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 78:22
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas VUILLAUMIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Estarlin Cruz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
57th • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yann HENRI (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Leonel Torrealba (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Térence Nicolas (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Kevin Steiger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rahma sinien (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Draw |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
72nd • 2-3-2
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Michael Gut (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Nico Schleier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Danny Feliz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Dumont (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Loss vs steve thiebaut (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Arnaud Mabboux (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Léo Dupraz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
68th • 2-4-1
71%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Marco Lauria (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lisa-Marie Schulte (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Loss vs Xavier Mudry (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Freddy Guilbaud (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Térence Nicolas (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Samuel Mudry (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
76th • 1-4-2
71%
Meta
-2.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Laurent Lecomte (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs Térence Nicolas (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Simon REMBRY (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 86:14
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Patrick Urfer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Léo Dupraz (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 68:32
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Arnaud Mabboux (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Draw |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 70% | Draw |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Ugo Troenli (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xavier Mudry (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joyce Bugnard (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yann HENRI (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-2
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Estarlin Cruz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Quentin Piguet (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Arnaud Mabboux (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 22:78
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs steve thiebaut (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Draw |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Draw |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.