Prism, Awakener of Sol at Battle Hardened: Geneva 2024
Prism, Awakener of Sol
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
63rd • 2-4-1
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Ankeshian (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Igor Koutzevitch (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 71:29
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lisa-Marie Schulte (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Quentin Piguet (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yann HENRI (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas G Jud (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Draw |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.