Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Battle Hardened: Geneva 2024
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
44th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs STEPHANE LE ROY (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ugo Troenli (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Zaffalon (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 54:46
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luca Kleck (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lian Mintz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Gut (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 19:81
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Grigorian Tigran (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.