FaB-Results

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at Battle Hardened: Geneva 2024

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lian Mintz
49th • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.9
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marc Lanigra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Nuu, Alluring Desire
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joyce Bugnard (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 30:70
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simon REMBRY (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Mudry (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lisa-Marie Schulte (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 29:71
Viserai, Rune Blood
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Wachouschek (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 42:58
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Maurice Hostettler (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 49:51
Aaron Heimbeck
66th • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
Viserai, Rune Blood
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 42:58
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nolan Varone (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 53:47
Viserai, Rune Blood
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Laurent Lecomte (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 42:58
Kano, Dracai of Aether
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Otterburg (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 56:44
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Danny Feliz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Urfer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ilian Baylon (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.