Viserai, Rune Blood at Battle Hardened: Geneva 2024
Viserai, Rune Blood
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 9-1-0
50%
Meta
+3.8
Perf
4.8
Surp
5.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nico Schleier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rafael Boog (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marc Alexandre (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 6: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Thomas VUILLAUMIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 10: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (5/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
10th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Simon Otterburg (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samuel Mudry (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Unknown)
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs STEPHANE LE ROY (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
16th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Dumont (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kai Martin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs STEPHANE LE ROY (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marc Lanigra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rafael Boog (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Felix Krisch (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
23rd • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Laurent Lecomte (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ilian Baylon (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas VUILLAUMIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
29th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marc Alexandre (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs simon diaz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Heimbeck (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gints Dreimanis (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kai Martin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
37th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Heimbeck (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs Hugo Jobe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christian Poffet (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Laurent Lecomte (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gabriel Ankeshian (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Manuel Köber (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
47th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs steve thiebaut (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christian Poffet (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kai Martin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marc Lanigra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
53rd • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrei Pervikov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christian Poffet (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lian Mintz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marc Lanigra (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.