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1 players • Match results by round
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71st • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 5: Win vs Dallas Catillaz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.