FaB-Results

Dorinthea Ironsong at Battle Hardened: Geneva 2024

Dorinthea Ironsong

Dorinthea Ironsong

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lucas RUZAFA
33rd • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.2
Diff
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Jenni (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
!!
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Estarlin Cruz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thierry Bonard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Viserai, Rune Blood
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Laurent Lecomte (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Steiger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Andrei Pervikov
67th • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Unknown)
Viserai, Rune Blood
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Wachouschek (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nico Schleier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Freddy Guilbaud (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 20:80
Dash I/O
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs steve thiebaut (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexandre Varone (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.