Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at Battle Hardened: Geneva 2024
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 5-2-1
38%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Quentin Piguet (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Diogo Vala (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marc Alexandre (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Jenni (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
Round 5: Win vs Joyce Bugnard (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Maximilian Schmidt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60
Round 7: Win vs Oliver Gehrig (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Draw |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
52nd • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Urfer (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marc Alexandre (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Markus Heimbeck (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Igor Koutzevitch (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Aaron Heimbeck (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
59th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Diogo Vala (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Gut (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexandre Varone (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cyril LEROUX (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christian Poffet (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Freddy Guilbaud (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 51:49
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Luca Kleck (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
65th • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Niels Rohrer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincenzo Di Maio (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Grigorian Tigran (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yann HENRI (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 30:70
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Dumont (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Victor Bousch (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.