Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire at Battle Hardened: Geneva 2024
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
50th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Bousch (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Dumont (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marco Lauria (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rahma sinien (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luca Kleck (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Igor Koutzevitch (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.