Battle Hardened: Geneva 2024 - Jarl Vetreiði (CC)

Jarl Vetreiði

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Daja Todesco

5th • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.5

Diff

5:95

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs robin gasparini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 4:96

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Simon REMBRY (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rahma sinien (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thierry Bonard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael Gut (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	5%	Loss	✗	0.04	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.13
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.46
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.11
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R8	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Leonhard Hecher

32nd • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Danny Feliz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gabriel Ankeshian (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Bruno Marty (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nolan Varone (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.35
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.32
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.72
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.60

Quentin Piguet

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas VUILLAUMIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alessandro Faveri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

5:95

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Estarlin Cruz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 4:96

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Steiger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Luca Kleck (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.59
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	5%	Loss	✗	0.04	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.