Jarl Vetreiði at Battle Hardened: Geneva 2024

Jarl Vetreiði

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Daja Todesco

5th • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.5

Diff

10:90

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs robin gasparini (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 8:92

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Simon REMBRY (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rahma sinien (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thierry Bonard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael Gut (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 55:45

20:80

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	10%	Loss	✗	0.08	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.55
R6	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R8	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Leonhard Hecher

32nd • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Danny Feliz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gabriel Ankeshian (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Bruno Marty (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nolan Varone (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.37
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Quentin Piguet

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.4

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas VUILLAUMIER (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alessandro Faveri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54

10:90

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Estarlin Cruz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 8:92

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Steiger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Luca Kleck (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.45
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	10%	Loss	✗	0.08	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.