Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 0-5-0
20%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lian Mintz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs simon diaz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arnaud Mabboux (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.