Kassai of the Golden Sand at Battle Hardened: Geneva 2024
Kassai of the Golden Sand
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
70th • 2-4-1
86%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 28:72
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leonel Torrealba (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Alessandro Faveri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 78:22
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexandre Varone (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Simon REMBRY (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Dallas Catillaz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs simon diaz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 78:22
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Draw |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.