Viserai, Rune Blood at Calling: Birmingham 2023
Viserai, Rune Blood
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
12th • 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Greenwood (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bota Claudiu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ed Cardall (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nathan Hills (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
Round 5: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hendrik Wytze Kluitenberg (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bruno Cracco (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
Round 11: Win vs Oscar Richichi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
44th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dennis Ryms (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eyüp Vroegop (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Win vs Jose Alves (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Owen Howdon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paweł Leszuk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Whewell (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Oscar Richichi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Isaac Fogg (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Callum Elcock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tadhg Treacy (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sandy Green (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robert Szary (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Michal Cwik (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jay Glover (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs James Lester (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Quinn Durlston-Powell (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emel Walsh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Ormstrup (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rasmus Møller (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Bowen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Giacomo Feurich (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilien Berger (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sharif Shaaban (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Blower (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Richard Hughes (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Guillermo Pedernal (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gary White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Theo Maggs (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fredrik Fagerberg (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jamie Fraser (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stefano Berian (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
Round 7: Loss vs Steve Thompson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Canty (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Dyson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bruno Cracco (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Glenn Van Roey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Friis Nielsen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Haukur Thor Buason (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jack Canty (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Callum Birkett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Stefaan Morbee (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alan Bainbridge (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zak Mc Gowan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Chappell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs Jeppe Madsen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jack Mountford (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Oscar Richichi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Kinnett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Flynn (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Holland (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Peter Trafford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eyüp Vroegop (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Emma Rumsey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Murray Iain (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
Round 4: Win vs Adam Sarrington (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Tsohohey (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robert Szary (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mayyar Ghulman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joe Whetter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alice Angell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christian Jelle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Geoffroy Massard (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul Crame (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hung Hoang (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Contreras (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florian Stangassinger (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jaco Sepe (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tom Fownes (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Rob Emery (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hon-man Yau (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Win vs Athena Halkia (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Theo Markus Tõnnov (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Contreras (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Johnsen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Simon Lüthi (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Emma Rumsey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Richardson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Crame (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Coates (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs George Douglas (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Larke (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Emel Walsh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florin Mazilu (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Mcdermott (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul Hyman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Davide Giacca (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Stuart Robb (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Damon Harbinson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Weißling (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Price (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tadhg Treacy (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Diego Giacca (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Maurice Hostettler (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Petrone (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Larsson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Bone (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aidan Keown (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.