Iyslander, Stormbind at Calling: Birmingham 2023
Iyslander, Stormbind
23 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 13-2-0
93%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
6.2
Surp
5.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Harry Johnson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Theo Markus Tõnnov (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stefano Berian (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nikola Kramarić (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 56:44
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
Round 8: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
Round 10: Loss vs George Keys (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Alex Chițu (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Luka Kramaric (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Sebastian Grøndal (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
93% (14/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (9.3 expected, 13 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Loss |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
33rd • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Dinsdale (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Igor Koutzevitch (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 79:21
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
Round 8: Win vs Mark Henderson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Henrik Montin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
Round 10: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
57th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Baxendale (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Wallner (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michal Cwik (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Philip Gibbons (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Seb Lee (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 69:31
Round 6: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joel Rencen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jay Glover (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Rob Catton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
62nd • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tom Gould (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Finbarr "Steelfur" Begley (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Correas (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Catling (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tom Gordon (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dennis Ryms (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
Round 7: Win vs Marcin Pelzner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 56:44
80:20
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Finlay Shepherd (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Callum Elcock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Eric Severs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
78th • 5-7-0
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
6.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Sven Tscheppainz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Jones (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Win vs Rob Catton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sharif Shaaban (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paul Hyman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Steve Thompson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 55:45
Round 10: Loss vs Theo Maggs (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 11: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Eric Severs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (5.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 7-4-0
45%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Connor McGrath (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Darren Hazelden (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Even Kverneland (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs May Made (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs simon diaz (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Fredrik Fagerberg (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tuomas Lampinen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-5-0
70%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
4.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs elliot boxall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jamie McCabe (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dean Alldread (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joe Whetter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Kenworthy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Sarrington (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ian Holland (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Eric Severs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hon-man Yau (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Bowen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Owen Cookman (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Johnsen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Whewell (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Viet Pham (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Baxendale (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ian Porter (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tadhg Treacy (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Lerens (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vajithkumar Tharumathas (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Robert Catling (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Fowley (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 3: Win vs Jake Warburton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Oscar Sigurdsson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jack Lismanis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Callum Young (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joe Fletcher (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dan York (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Debling (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joe Tough (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Simon Duck (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ville Schalin (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Javier Querol (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Mc Namara (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jorge Expósito Valiente (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23
Round 5: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adam Sarrington (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Hicks (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Earley (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Johannes Schorpp (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jake Armes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Paul A Wright (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Athena Halkia (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ross Gauld (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Thomas (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Friis Nielsen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jack Raven (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joe Fletcher (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andreas Mitterlechner (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Legg (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Samuel Parry (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-1
100%
Meta
-2.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Joe Whetter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Jelle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Jason Kelly (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anya North (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
Round 6: Loss vs Simon Duck (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Draw |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Tsohohey (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simon Duck (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jack Lismanis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sam Williams (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Hughes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robert Catling (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Larsson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Baxendale (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Owen Howdon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Matthew McCherry (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Whewell (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marc Alexandre (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Man Hiem Cheung (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Henrik McQuoid Jespersen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Julien Erdreich (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ross Gauld (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Jones (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Maddalene Delves (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.