Briar, Warden of Thorns
40 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gary White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Sarrington (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Win vs Michael Bone (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adrian Fjell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Earley (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jack Lismanis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas McCormick (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rasmus Møller (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Isaac Fogg (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Leila Green (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
18th • 9-3-0
42%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
5.9
Surp
5.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florin Mazilu (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26
Round 2: Win vs Matthew McCherry (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Round 5: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Marco Lettieri (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Paul Mirande (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs George Keys (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Round 11: Win vs Kevin Pennec (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
23rd • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
6.1
Surp
6.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emad Kashy (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Lerens (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Søren Madsen (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs May Made (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Owen Howdon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Round 8: Win vs Sharif Shaaban (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jack Stoney (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tadhg Treacy (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Round 11: Win vs Glenn Van Roey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jamie Faulkner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
54th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Philip Gibbons (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rhyan Bromell (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emad Kashy (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Jack Stoney (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Liam Holden (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs simon diaz (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Fredrik Fagerberg (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 77:23
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Adrian Fjell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Richard Carr (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
64th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Violet Burn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mohammad Rafiq (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tobias Lee (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Florin Mazilu (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michał Sierszulski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Danni Andersen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
Round 8: Loss vs Tuomas Lampinen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Paul Mirande (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs David Dyson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
Round 11: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Paweł Leszuk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
75th • 6-6-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Marcus Archer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Clark (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gary White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ethan Rambarran (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alex Price (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
Round 7: Win vs Lorenzo Petrone (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Matthew Copeman (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Peter Ward (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
70%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene C (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nguyen Giang (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jack Fejer (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dean Ebelshäuser (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Stuart Robb (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Maciej Walenczykowski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Robert Szary (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Glenn Van Roey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
80%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.9
Surp
3.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Martin Bergström (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Owen Howdon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Antonis Kazouris (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joe Fletcher (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Williams (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 8: Win vs Paul Mirande (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Seb Ball (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Collins (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
Round 2: Win vs Zach Evans (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Florian Stangassinger (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Round 5: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Theo Markus Tõnnov (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jorge Expósito Valiente (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Connor McGrath (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Severs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Round 5: Win vs Michael Davies (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joel Rencen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tadhg Treacy (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ross Gauld (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher O'Toole (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Holland (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nikola Kramarić (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Adam James (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Toon Vertommen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Javier Querol (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Robbie Armstrong (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rob Catton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Legg (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrik Koller (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Viet Pham (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kyle Mullings (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Man Hiem Cheung (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Stefanos Argyriou (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eugene C (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Holden (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Dyson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chris Macneill (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Bowen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas McCormick (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Noah Greenwood (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gustavo Caperan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ethan Rambarran (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yves Meienberg (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Danny Halstad (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Finlay Freir (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
Round 4: Loss vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Hyman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Patrick Fowley (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Round 7: Loss vs Marc Alexandre (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Seb Ball (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marco Lettieri (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs nino Zimmermann (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Even Kverneland (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher O'Toole (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rob Catton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam Williams (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Blower (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Canning (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Alves (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gwen Woods (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christian Johnsen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emad Kashy (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ian Holland (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Kinnett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Ogden (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Annabelle McQuade (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Kinnett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emma Rumsey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Hicks (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Ogden (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Davies (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Hughes (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
Round 4: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Theo Markus Tõnnov (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs SIMON LLOYD-JONES (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
17%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zach Evans (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anya North (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Ward (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Callum Dorling (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Peter Trafford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jamie Costello (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Peter Ward (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charlie Fahey (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 77:23
Round 3: Loss vs Jay Glover (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Faraj (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bota Claudiu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oliver Dutton (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Maciej Walenczykowski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel VandenBurg (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26
Round 5: Loss vs Christian Jelle (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Callum Elcock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
Round 3: Win vs James Ashall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Dinsdale (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul A Wright (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oliver Dutton (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Bone (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Finbarr "Steelfur" Begley (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Kenworthy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Diego Giacca (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
Round 4: Loss vs Tom Ward (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Kinnett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Murray Iain (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Richard Hughes (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bill Stevenson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Giacomo Feurich (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Clark (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gary White (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Mc Namara (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Josef Doležal (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Holland (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Lismanis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Ogden (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Kelly (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Stuart Robb (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Ashall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Collins (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 72:28
Round 3: Loss vs Quinn Durlston-Powell (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Craig Johnson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rob Catton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kristian Svensson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ash Bones (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Lester (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jack Stoney (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel White (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Fownes (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Hoath (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David McAllan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul Mirande (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Waters (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elias Nærland (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Holland (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Klaus Poulsen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Giannis Kapatos (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stefanos Argyriou (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.