Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at Calling: Birmingham 2023
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
39 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
51st • 8-4-0
25%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.9
Surp
5.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jamie Costello (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Henrik Montin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Win vs George Bowles (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryan Dinsdale (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Liam Holden (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Paweł Leszuk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Bruno Cracco (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Steve Thompson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dimitris Melissinos (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (3/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
63rd • 7-5-0
33%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mayyar Ghulman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Vaz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Mullings (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sandy Green (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eyüp Vroegop (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Bowen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Rob Catton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Theo Maggs (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
69th • 7-5-0
17%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Luke/Evelynn Poulter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andreas Mitterlechner (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adam James (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Win vs Ed Kennan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Oscar Richichi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Bruno Cracco (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Steve Thompson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
17% (2/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
dropped • 6-5-0
9%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Paul A Wright (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Clements (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dean Alldread (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Win vs Gabe Sher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Round 7: Win vs David Wallner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jamie Faulkner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Adam James (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
9% (1/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
11%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maurice Philip (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hung Hoang (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Win vs Ville Schalin (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Mohammad Rafiq (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Juha Saarnilampi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Adrian Fjell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kyle Mullings (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
11% (1/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ays Banning (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Emma Rumsey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Henrik Montin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tim Coates (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Reece Grimes (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Antonio Tagliareni (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Oscar Sigurdsson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Chappell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tuomas Lampinen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Wilde (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Klaus Poulsen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jack Fejer (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
Round 5: Win vs Ays Banning (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
Round 7: Win vs Gregory Radek (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robbie Armstrong (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eyüp Vroegop (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Davies (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tuomas Lampinen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hon-man Yau (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
Round 6: Win vs Lubos Vanicek (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Paweł Leszuk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Mcdermott (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Leila Green (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Callum Young (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rob Emery (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eugene C (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Giannis Kapatos (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Keir Sweeney (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Murray Iain (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Antonio Tagliareni (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Quinn Durlston-Powell (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel VandenBurg (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Chițu (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joe Whetter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Glenn Van Roey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Robert Szary (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samir Sultani (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Flynn (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Annabelle McQuade (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yves Meienberg (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Steve Andrew (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mathias W (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs George Douglas (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Earley (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Piełudź (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Stoney (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Callum Elcock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Chappell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gustavo Caperan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs George Douglas (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Clark (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jaco Sepe (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Morris (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Round 6: Win vs Camron Lowe (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chris Macneill (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Blower (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jaco Sepe (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Porter (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Emel Walsh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zak Mc Gowan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Mckeen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Harbinson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Keir Sweeney (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rafael Boog (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Walsh (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Win vs Kieran Stratton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Steve Thompson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tom Fownes (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Holland (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maurice Hostettler (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stefaan Morbee (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jamie McCabe (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Finlay Freir (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andreas Mitterlechner (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Oli Cornish (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Oliver M (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lorenzo Petrone (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Haill (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Callum Dorling (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jake Armes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Haukur Thor Buason (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Violet Burn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jack Fejer (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Severs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dan York (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Javier Querol (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Viet Pham (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Ward (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Violet Burn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kamil "Kaka" Żerek (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Loss vs George Morehead (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steve Phillimore (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robert Catling (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam James (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel VandenBurg (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Camron Lowe (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zak Murray (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel White (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maciej Walenczykowski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oliver M (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs May Made (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Fredrik Fagerberg (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Lester (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oli Cornish (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ed Cardall (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Connop (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gregory Radek (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe Fletcher (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emel Walsh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe Potter (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Stoney (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charlie Fahey (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ross Gauld (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Severs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Piełudź (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Darren Hazelden (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Haukur Thor Buason (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thierry Entringer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Baxendale (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Dales (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oliver M (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs George Jones (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oli Cornish (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steve Andrew (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs George Keys (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Lismanis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nguyen Giang (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Henrik McQuoid Jespersen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Mirande (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lewis Couperthwaite (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Jones (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Gordon (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Kelly (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marc Alexandre (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Calf (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Jehan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Leila Green (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Fogg (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Filip Maslo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zak Murray (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Richardson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.