Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: Birmingham 2023
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
58th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alan Bainbridge (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paweł Leszuk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jamie Costello (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Florian Stangassinger (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Chappell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Johannes Schorpp (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Theo Maggs (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 47:53
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Henrik Montin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 47:53
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs simon diaz (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
68th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nguyen Giang (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Richard Carr (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Danni Andersen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 47:53
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paweł Leszuk (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Geoffroy Massard (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 47:53
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Leila Green (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Matthew Whewell (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 65:35
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs David Dyson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 36:64
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Fownes (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Mckeen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Faraj (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aidan Keown (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 65:35
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hung Hoang (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adrian Fjell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Dyson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Marshall (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tom Gordon (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Keir Sweeney (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raymond Rouse (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rob Catton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Francesco D'Amendola (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jude Fisher (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Piełudź (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 65:35
Round 6: Loss vs Adam Faraj (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Rencen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Josh Newton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Lester (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Camron Lowe (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Dan York (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Tom Gould (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Hyman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Mcdermott (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 65:35
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel White (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Charlie Fahey (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marcin Pelzner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 20:80
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Guillermo Pedernal (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.