Bravo, Showstopper
44 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 12-3-0
47%
Meta
+4.8
Perf
7.1
Surp
6.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jono Paul (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Harbinson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gustavo Caperan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke/Evelynn Poulter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Callum Elcock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Keir Sweeney (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Sebastian Grøndal (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs George Keys (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
47% (7/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
7.1 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
3rd • 12-2-0
43%
Meta
+5.2
Perf
7.0
Surp
5.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jose Alves (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Bone (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam James (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul Mirande (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs May Made (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs George Keys (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
43% (6/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+5.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
7.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
5th • 10-3-0
46%
Meta
+3.9
Perf
6.8
Surp
5.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Calf (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stuart Robb (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Gregory Radek (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Giacomo Feurich (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marijn Lybaert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hendrik Wytze Kluitenberg (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 GDPR-DEL-01/04/24-08:01:40 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs George Keys (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jas Tin Lim (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
13th • 9-3-0
42%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
6.1
Surp
5.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Natasha Collins (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ed Kennan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul Mirande (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adrian Fjell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Darren Hazelden (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexander Tsohohey (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Rob Catton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 10: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Juha Saarnilampi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
14th • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Gervolino (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joe Whetter (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Friis Nielsen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marijn Lybaert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michal Cwik (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kevin Pennec (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Adrian Fjell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
19th • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Filip Maslo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Mullings (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Wallner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robbie Armstrong (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sharif Shaaban (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jack Stoney (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Oscar Richichi (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Callum Elcock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
32nd • 8-4-0
25%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Craig Johnson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hendrik Wytze Kluitenberg (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gabe Sher (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Arian Sultani (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Adrian Fjell (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ruben Van Dessel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
25% (3/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
43rd • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sam Ball (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Tsohohey (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Henrik McQuoid Jespersen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jay Glover (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Giannis Kapatos (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Paul Mirande (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Grégory Lefebvre (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
47th • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Guillermo Pedernal (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marco Lettieri (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Tsohohey (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luke/Evelynn Poulter (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Adam James (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs David Wallner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs David Dyson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
65th • 7-5-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Friis Nielsen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Severs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mathias W (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Eddy (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs James Ashall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Giannis Kapatos (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs David Dyson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
Round 10: Win vs Matthew Copeman (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Fredrik Fagerberg (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
76th • 6-6-0
42%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jake Armes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dean Alldread (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs James Thourgood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Henrik Montin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Dimitris Melissinos (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Fredrik Fagerberg (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-5-0
60%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
4.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Violet Burn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jude Fisher (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Whewell (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rafael Boog (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Toon Vertommen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs May Made (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs David Wallner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jay Glover (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Haill (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Clark (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Vaz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Samir Sultani (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tuomas Lampinen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs May Made (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Glenn Van Roey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mathias W (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Giacomo Feurich (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Edward Bayford (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steve Phillimore (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Win vs Joe Potter (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Henrik McQuoid Jespersen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alice Angell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Seb Lee (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aidan Keown (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Thomas (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Giacomo Feurich (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zak Mc Gowan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jake Warburton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Jones (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rafael Boog (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Hoath (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Swandale (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sebastiano Zagatti (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jose Alves (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ash Bones (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Francis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Craig Johnson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
Round 4: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thierry Entringer (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs George Rodger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Renzo Schietgat (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs kurtulus ay (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yann HENRI (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marcin Pelzner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Antonis Kazouris (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Mountford (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Tom Fownes (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tom Ward (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kailam Dale (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Lubos Vanicek (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bernhard Hinna (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maciej Walenczykowski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Sarrington (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yann HENRI (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Debling (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alice Angell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs George Jones (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hon-man Yau (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sam Williams (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Callum Young (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alice Angell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kailam Dale (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas McCormick (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Edward Bayford (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Peter Bråss (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
Round 4: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul LE GOUEZ (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Stefanos Argyriou (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs simon diaz (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oliver M (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs kurtulus ay (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tomasz Buda (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eyüp Vroegop (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zak Mc Gowan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Hicks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Wallner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Maximilien Berger (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leila Green (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dean Alldread (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jamie Faulkner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Tague (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Marshall (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Hughes (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Antonis Kazouris (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Oliver M (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Tague (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Martin Hechtberger (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aidan Keown (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kane Wilson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Renzo Schietgat (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs kurtulus ay (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Josh Newton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ays Banning (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marcin Pelzner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alice Angell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Win vs Edward Bayford (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Hicks (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tom Preece (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs René Schep (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bernhard Hinna (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jamie Faulkner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Steve Thompson (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gustavo Caperan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Contreras (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Finbarr "Steelfur" Begley (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jaco Sepe (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jamie Faulkner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Gervolino (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Kinnett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eugene C (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Matthew McCherry (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Draw |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kailam Dale (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kieran Stratton (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs René Schep (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Connop (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Annabelle McQuade (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anya North (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kate Dunstone (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs James Tague (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Antonio Tagliareni (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Pennec (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Hicks (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Kinnett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steve Phillimore (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bernhard Hinna (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Vaz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Preece (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafael Boog (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew McCherry (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marcus Archer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Thourgood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Eastwood (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas McCormick (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Theo Markus Tõnnov (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Camron Lowe (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Crame (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Sommer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Calf (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Glenn Van Roey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Seb Lee (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ed Kennan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Harrison Shore (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Ward (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Tsohohey (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Sommer (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sandy Green (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Brookes (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Debling (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Price (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Canty (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.